Handicap betting is a popular option in football that levels the playing field between two teams by giving one team a virtual advantage or disadvantage. It’s designed to make games more competitive from a betting perspective, especially when one team is heavily favored to win. This guide breaks down everything you need to know about handicap betting, how it works, and the strategies to use it effectively.
What is Handicap Betting?
Handicap betting involves assigning a numerical advantage or disadvantage to a team before the match starts. This “handicap” modifies the final score for betting purposes.
For example, if a strong team is expected to dominate a weaker opponent, the bookmaker might assign the stronger team a -1 handicap and the weaker team a +1 handicap.
⇒Join us on Telegram for more Sure and Accurate football-winning tips every day...click here
- If you bet on the stronger team (with -1), they need to win by at least two goals for your bet to be successful.
- If you bet on the weaker team (with +1), your bet wins if they draw or win outright, and even if they lose by a single goal, the bet is still a draw.
Types of Handicap Betting
- Single Handicap (European Handicap) This is the simplest form of handicap betting. A fixed number is assigned to one team, and the other team gets the opposite adjustment.
Example: Team A (-2) vs. Team B (+2)
- Team A must win by three or more goals for a bet on them to win.
- Team B wins the bet if they lose by one goal, draw, or win outright.
- Asian Handicap Asian handicap eliminates the possibility of a draw, offering two possible outcomes. It’s more nuanced, with options like quarter-goal handicaps (e.g., +0.25 or -0.75) to add variety.
Examples:
- +0.5 Handicap: The team you back wins the bet if they win or draw.
- -0.5 Handicap: Your team must win outright for the bet to succeed.
- -1.5 Handicap: Your team needs to win by at least two goals for the bet to pay off.
- Zero Handicap (Draw No Bet) This is a safer form of handicap betting. No handicap is added to the team, but if the match ends in a draw, your stake is refunded.
Advantages of Handicap Betting
- Better Odds: Handicap betting provides better odds when betting on the favorite, as they need to overcome the handicap to win.
- Levels the Field: It makes mismatched games more interesting for bettors by balancing the chances.
- More Winning Scenarios: Betting on an underdog with a positive handicap increases the chances of success, as even a narrow loss can win your bet.
Strategies for Handicap Betting
- Analyze Team Form and Strength Assess the form, key players, injuries, and recent performances. For example, a strong team missing a top scorer might struggle to cover a large handicap.
- Understand Game Context Handicaps work differently depending on the game’s importance. For example:
- In high-stakes matches, underdogs often perform better due to higher motivation.
- In lower-stakes games, strong teams might rotate players or show less urgency.
- Consider Home and Away Form Teams often perform better at home, so a strong team with a handicap might easily cover it when playing at home. Conversely, an underdog may struggle in hostile away conditions, making a positive handicap less reliable.
- Weather and Pitch Conditions Bad weather or poor pitch conditions can slow down a match, making it harder for the favorite to score multiple goals and cover a large handicap.
- Use Asian Handicap for Flexibility Asian handicap options, like +0.25 or -0.75, allow you to hedge your bets and reduce losses if the result is close.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Overestimating the Favorite: Just because a team is strong doesn’t mean they’ll always cover a handicap, especially against defensive underdogs.
- Ignoring Match Situations: In matches where a favorite only needs a draw to advance (e.g., knockout stages), they may not push to cover the handicap.
- Not Researching Lineups: Team rotations or absences can dramatically affect how well a team performs against a handicap.
Example Scenarios
- Single Handicap Match: Manchester City (-2) vs. Burnley (+2)
- If Manchester City wins 3-0, they cover the -2 handicap, and bets on them win.
- If the match ends 2-0, it’s a push, and your stake is refunded.
- If Burnley loses 2-1 or wins/draws, bets on Burnley (+2) win.
- Asian Handicap Match: Real Madrid (-1.25) vs. Sevilla (+1.25)
- A bet on Real Madrid wins fully if they win by two or more goals.
- If Real Madrid wins by one goal, you lose half your stake (the -1 half) but the other half (the -0.25) is refunded.
Handicap betting is a great way to find value, especially in games with clear favorites or underdogs. Mastering handicap betting requires practice and attention to detail, but it’s one of the most rewarding approaches to football betting.
